- Hindi news
- Business
- Dalal Street Week Ahead, Q4 Earnings, Inflation, ECB Meet, China GDP, Tarifs Among Key Factors
Mumbai7 minutes ago
- Copy link
The stock market may see fluctuations this week. From tariff development to retail inflation and corporate earnings, FII-DII flows will be an eye on the market.
Factors that will determine the market move in this week…
Corporate earnings
This week, many companies will release the results of their March 2025 quarter i.e. the fourth quarter (Q4FY25-March). Infosys, Wipro, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, HDFC Life Insurance, HDFC AMC, ICICI Lombard, ICICI Prudential, Tata Alexi, Angel One, Wari Renewables, Network-18 and Yes Bank results will come.
India’s retail inflation
At the domestic level, the market will be eyeing the figures of retail inflation (CPI) in the coming March month, which was 3.61% in February. Analysts believe that inflation can decrease further due to the softening of the prices of food and drink items. This will give the Reserve Bank a chance to maintain softness in policy stance.
Experts hope that the CPI can go down further due to the cooling of food inflation, which can provide policy relief to RBI. Apart from this, data of Foreign Exchange Reserve and March passenger vehicle sales will be released on 18 April.
Tariff development
The US-China Trade War is still a big factor to decide the market mood. Even though Donald Trump has given relief in tariffs for the rest of the countries except China for 90 days, China in turn has increased the tariff by 125% on US products.
On April 2, US President Trump announced a tariff on 60 countries of the world.
Trump has exempted some technical products from China from tariffs to smartphones and computers, which has given relief to companies like Apple. According to market experts, if the trade war is faster, it will have a bad effect on the emerging markets. Also, the ongoing bilateral talks between India and America will also be in the focus.
Speech of Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Jerome Powell
On April 16, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank will be a speech of Jerome Powell, in which they may indicate further strategy on the monetary policy. In the last speech, he said that the fed will not take any major decision until the situation is clear. Apart from this, the US job reports, retail sales data and industrial production data will also affect the market.
Jerome Powell, Chairman, Federal Reserve Bank.
ECB meeting and China’s GDP
European Central Bank meeting and China’s first quarter GDP growth will also be important in global signals. It is expected that the ECB deposit rate can reduce the rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%.
Oil price
The market will also keep an eye on the speed of crude oil prices. Last week, Brent crude futures fell at $ 64.76 per barrel with a decline of 1.25% in the end of the week after falling to a slight recovery after falling to a four -year low of nearly four years.
Brent crude futures closed at $ 64.76 per barrel last week.
This is good news for oil importer countries like India, as it can reduce both the cost of companies and the fiscal deficit of the government. Now the eyes will be on the OPEC+ meeting to be held on May 5, which can give a big signal about the supply of crude oil.
Fii-Dii Flow
Foreign Institutional Investors i.e. (FIIS) remains net seller so far this month. FII has so far sold shares worth Rs 34,641.79 crore. The main reason for this is Trump’s tariff policy. If this trend of FII continues, the market boom may be limited. However, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIS) have balanced this weakness to a great extent and so far have purchased shares worth Rs 27,588.18 crore.
Sensex fell 207 points last week
Last week, the Sensex dropped 207 points i.e. 0.27%. The Nifty also had a decline of 75.9 (0.33%) last week. On Friday (April 11), the Sensex rose 1310 points (1.77%) to close at 75,157 levels on the last trading day of the week. The Nifty also rose by about 429 points, reaching the level of 22,829.
